Wednesday, July 26, 2006

Late Day Pause Stops Most Indexes From Making It Three Days In A Row Of Gains.

After two days of nice gains stocks finally ended it with a last hour selloff to finish the indexes in the red. Earnings were the blame of the day for the media.

The SP 600 led to the downside with a .56% loss, followed by the Nasdaq's .17% loss, the SP 500 lost .04%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average lost .01%.

Volume rose across the board and breadth was positive on both the NYSE and the Nassdaq by a 8.5-to-7 margin.

The stock market and stocks overall are still kind of crazy in this earnings environment. If you are a new investor I hope you are still in cash as this is not the kind of market environment to be trading in. I am not sure why I am even doing it. Probably just to satisfy my gambling addiction. I know it will pay off. It always has before. But staying in cash for new traders is better than driving yourself crazy trying to make money in a market like this. It is better to just wait for an uptrend to be firmly established and for great stocks to breakout from sound bases.

Reading some good books or reviewing your past trades that have not worked out is probably the best advice I can give traders right now. There are some wall-street classics out there that are MUST reads. And if you have not read them yet this is the kind of market that you want to absorb as much info as you can. That way you will be ready for the next uptrend. And during that uptrend you can focus on making a ton of money instead of trying to learn how to make some money.

The market is still oversold on all the oscillators. This suggest that the recent rally has not run its course yet and that there is still more time for the market to make some gains. This market is acting better on this bounce this time around but I still wouldn't trust this rally to turn into "the rally." We are still in an intermediate downtrend on all the averages. It doesn't pay to fight the trend.

Don't commit hardcore one way or the other, right now. Some longs are acting well, some shorts are acting well, and some longs and shorts are not acting well. Blah.

If we get a pullback and hold the recent lows and start to rally again we may see some nice gains in some pretty charts that I am long. I just wouldn't bet the farm on it.

Stay positive and know this too shall pass. It has been a rough three days on multiple fronts and I am still fighting. Fight with me. It is the best defense against this ugly market. I would never sell me short! Are you the kind of trader that is basing right now and are ready to explod to the upside in a bull market; or are you just taking a rest before the final breakdown? Readers of this blog and followers of the CANSLIM system never give up. Don't you either!

New Swing Longs: WNR JLL ILC SMTX

New Swing Shorts: AGP RJF MAR BFAM LDSH STNR KEX NCI EXBD DDE

**For charts and more information on longs and shorts, go to Investors Paradise.

Longs Outperforming: OMNI-186 TWTC-129 KNOL-152 HMSY SEIC VLG-30 BWP JTX ALTH IDEV EYE AMV

Shorts Outperforming: GYI JOYG WSM MEOH APOL TXRH NAFC SUPX CSX BPFH USG ELY AMAT RES MAFB FRZ CTCO XNPT MAS PII CXG RCNI POOL PWC OPTN IYT TM NTE GE WFSL HTLD BLK HCBK WERN VB RS CAT WTFC CNI DSL CATY AF GVA IFX FLR CPF XPRSA

Stocks On Radar Screen: BER DXPE AXE NSSC TCK PETD RA FRX HEI DIGE ALY BRR IDTI CHINA DIL CONR STEC TPX SWIR TDS PR CSL ATRM HEIA

Covering Shorts: IKN ULTI MWIV OIH

17 comments:

Anonymous said...

hey josh, why isnt FTI a short on your list after today, trying to see what i am missing ? thanks, ORKiter

Anonymous said...

Hey, Josh, a couple of more possible long to watch - QGEN and maybe SVNT if it gets over $6(this one might be iffy).

Any news on why IP isn't working?

Mac

Y.Y. said...

whats up with IP now?

Anonymous said...

I can't log in either...

Did they shut down the site in order to get things inline?

Anonymous said...

off to bed...this is CRAP I tell ya!

Joshua "MauiTrader" Hayes said...

IP should be up now. At least I can log in at my laptop at Starbucks.

Not sure about home again. It better not be messed up.

Email Justin DeMerchant.

This is crap without a doubt.

I am posting and logging in for now.

Dont know about later.

FTI: look at the tail and look at how it is still above recent support. It doesnt look like it cracked yet. If anything it has received support so far.

Anonymous said...

I'm still unable to get in...

It may be work that is blocking the site now. I was unable to get in from home too...

Y.Y. said...
This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.
Y.Y. said...

Markets closed little change on HIGHER volume the Dow jones transports close sharply lower for a second day confirming a double top pattern, could it be just a bear trap? time will tell.
the media had no reason for the little change markets.
the Dow closed @ 11,102
the SPX closed @ 1,268
and the NASDAQ @ 2,070.
Looking to buy SPX in a week as cycles are turning HIGHER.

Over in the commodities markets
Gold rose to close @ $621.80
and Oil closed @ $73.94.
Looking to buy Gold and Oil as cycles are HIGHER.



positions




SPX N/A - looking to buy

Gold N/A - looking to buy

Oil N/A - looking to buy




SPX performance since June 13, 2006 (Cash SPX @ 1225)
SPX + 62 (Cycle Trader) VS +48 (buy & hold)

Gold performance since June 23, 2006 (Spot Gold @ $572.00)
Gold + $33.40 (Cycle Trader) VS + $49.80 (buy & hold)

Oil performance since June 19, 2006 (Aug. 2006 Oil @ $69.00)
Oil + $8.90 (Cycle Trader) VS + $2.83 (buy & hold)

posted by Y.Y. @ 9:03 AM


www.cycletrader.blogspot.com

Y.Y. said...

if the SPX can stay near here through the next 2 weeks we might test the May 10 high by september

Anonymous said...

YY can you get on IP?

Y.Y. said...

nope sorry i cant
need a administration user id domain id and pass have no idea where to get it from

Anonymous said...

IP down again - can't get in. What's going on?

Joshua "MauiTrader" Hayes said...

Justin.Demerchant@brunway.com

let him know! this is ridiculous.

Me and market are logged on.

Anonymous said...

you can get into IP now...

Joshua "MauiTrader" Hayes said...

If you still can not log into IP, please send DeMerchant an email along with a screenshot of what the opening page sees. This weekend Seth will be back to go over everything.

I apologize about all of this. It is just part of the process.

Y.Y. said...

i still cant login i sent an email