Thursday, June 02, 2005

Market feels like 1995.

I just want to make some comments on why this market keeps going up. It keeps going up going because everyone is looking for that pullback that is supposed to happen. Well like I said yesterday, since everyone is looking for it, we are probably not going to get it. So that sums up how I feel about this market currently.

Now I am seeing a lot of similarities between this market and the 1994/1995 markets:

During that time inflation was low, inflation is historically low currently.

Rates after being raised steadily a full year came to an end, rates currently according to a Fed official is "in the 8th inning."

During the rally pessimisim was high just like it is now.

Everyone was expecting pullbacks the whole way up in 1995. People are already talking about it now. lol

During the start of the rally in 1994 there was not a 2% move in any of the indexes until September of 1995. Currently I have heard of people saying, "they will not believe the rally until the market is up 2% on heavy voluem."

At the start of the 1994 move there was a lot of beautiful charts in retail and technology. This current rally has a lot of beautiful charts in retail, tech, airline, medical, and consumer stocks.

Earnings at companies were growing. Earnings are huge in some of Investors Business Daily's top stocks.

The indexes were up from 25% to 40% and a lot of people missed out on the 1995 bull market. And a lot still missed out on Jan to June 1996 bull market.

The trend is your friend, my friends.

Longs swing trades: JDO--again, needs to take a break, XXIA--again, needs a small consolidation also, OPWV--again, 16 a better buy, ITU--high volume breakout, BBD--extremely high volume bounce off of 50 dma, ASR--again, high volume bounce off of 50dma and building base on base pattern, NNI--again, nice place to add to, AMOV--again, tiny tiny float, killer fundamentals, excellent chart pattern, KNDL--nice breakout above flat base, LMS--another breakout to a new high, PETS--high volume 50dma bounce, CIB--high volume bounce off 50 dma, ARTC--breakout to new high, CY--heavy volume move above May resistance, CPTV, CMRG, CONN



Aloha

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